acasser

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About acasser

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  1. Pittsburgh would have to be blown away by a trade offer to make it worth their while. Locker room issues or no, the salary cap ramifications throw a very big wrench into the works. It won't happen this season, but I could see it happening in the off-season. If Ben Roethlisberger decides to call it quits and Le'Veon Bell heads off into the wild blue yonder of Free Agency, Pittsburgh could do it just to hit the reset button on everything.
  2. Las Vegas isn't in the business of trying to predict what is going to happen or to analyze what has already come before. Las Vegas is in the business of setting lines so that they get roughly equal action on either side -- or trying to do so -- because that's how they make their money. For example, if they opened the line on tomorrow night's Jets/Browns game at Cleveland -3, that doesn't mean Las Vegas expects the Browns to win by three points. It means that's their "sweet spot" where their chosen experts expect the betting to be relatively even on both sides. And if their chosen experts happen to be wrong and there's an avalanche of money on "Jets +3", they'll start moving the line until things level out. The house is pretty much guaranteed to make money when they can surf that sweet spot and not have to move the lines (or move them much). And that's what they're in the business to do: make themselves some money. On the other hand, their biggest fear is that they whiff on an opening line so badly and have to move the line so much that savvy bettors can place two separate bets several days apart that cover the entire field. If you could bet "Jets +5" and "Cleveland -1" on that same Jets/Browns game, you end up with a very real chance to double your money and soak the house, and that's usually the worst-case scenario for a sportsbook.
  3. This is why one should play the (expletive deleted) games before judging who they really believe is good or bad. It's not as bad as it is in college football, where if you don't have the pre-season hype and a lofty ranking you might as well give up on winning a championship and just play to get a bid to the Liquid Plumr(TM) Toilet Bowl, but it's still a case where it takes a little while to figure out who really might be unexpectedly good or bad -- and there are always a few in each column. A friend of mine who is a Giants' fan texted me today asking me what I thought about a slew of "Power Rankings" from around the interwebs putting the Giants above the Jets. So I texted him back this (direct quote): Power Rankings are opinions. Opinions are like assholes. Everybody has one, and most of them stink. The Dolphins may be better than a lot of people thought. Or maybe they just beat up on a pair of teams that aren't going to be so wonderful. That's one of those things we'll need some more hindsight to judge, although I'd probably pick them to get to 3-0 if I was into the whole "picking teams and/or betting on the NFL" sort of thing. .... As for ESPN, the less said about them the better. They weren't very good at the "predicting sports" thing to begin with, and that was before they made a sharp turn into being just another political and social commentary network.
  4. A lot of games that come through Compile Heart and/or Nippon Ichi feature a crapton of grinding.
  5. Can they do that? I suppose they can. Personally, I think it's bush league. And I hope the Buffalo Bills go after every penny of his signing bonus the way Calvin Johnson and Barry Sanders had to pay chunks of theirs back when they retired. (At least the latter two did it in the off-season, and not at halftime.) Sure, he was having a bad day/week/year and not playing up to whatever standards he holds for himself. It's still a shitty move to quit in the middle of a job like that. And for many/most of us mere mortals, there would be some consequences to doing so.
  6. It's one game. It's a tiny sample size. And it's something I've seen time and time and time and time again during a lifetime of Jets fandom. I'm not buying it. Certainly not this early. Come back to me around Thanksgiving and we'll have this discussion again and if the Jets are still successful and through sustainable things, I'm willing to change my mind then.
  7. Take it from a lifelong Jets fan and do your wallet a favor: Save your money and don't wager anything you don't care to lose on this. The Lions are a hot mess. Miami isn't very good, and Cleveland is still a dumpster fire. Don't buy very heavily into the Jets even if they do start 3-0, because the Football Gods are cruel and love tormenting Jets fans (among others) by teasing them before pulling the football back a la Lucy Van Pelt. They're better than they were last season, but "better" doesn't mean good or "for real". Maybe next year, when they'll have the cap space to overspend on a bunch of mediocre free agents to make themselves look good for half-a-season, but they're not really there yet.
  8. Here's a great stat related to yesterday's games (unless you root for the team in question): In the last 20 years of the NFL -- or since they expanded to 31 teams -- there have been 187 different occasions on which a team has had a single-game turnover differential of +5 (or better). Those 187 teams are 182-4-1 in those games. Obviously, the Cleveland Browns (yesterday) account for the tie. But did you know that the Browns are also two of the four losses?
  9. Those sorts of trades seldom work out well for the team acquiring and then paying the elite talent, especially in the salary cap era. It's simply too hard to build an effective roster as a whole when you've given up that volume of high picks. Chicago may be able to balance it for a year or two if Mitchell Trubisky can live up to his draft status and quickly, but effective NFL rosters require a constant infusion and re-infusion of good, cheap, young talent, and Chicago is going to have a difficult time doing that without those draft picks. If Trubisky is good, Chicago will have issues when it's time to pay him the same way Seattle has watched their depth and talent erode once Russell Wilson had to get paid. If Trubisky isn't good, Chicago will have issues in that area without much of a chance to find a cheap replacement who is any good and could be right back on the Mike Glennon carousel.
  10. I have the contrarian point of view, that Le'Veon Bell is hurting his market value with his holdout. He's not going to get more money this year -- he can't get more money this year unless Pittsburgh rescinds the franchise tag at this point and there's no reason for the Steelers to do so. And there are probably teams and GMs out there that are looking at what the Pittsburgh locker room is going through and don't want the headache on their teams. He'll still get paid as an Unrestricted Free Agent this coming offseason. Probably. But I don't think he's inflating his market value by sitting out, especially considering how Running Backs don't get paid a whole heck of a lot anymore, relatively speaking.
  11. This may come as a shock to you, but other defensive stars have been demanding big contracts for a very long time. The same with offensive stars, and quarterbacks. You're only screwed in the attempt to land a mega-deal if you're an offensive lineman or a kicker; nobody really cares about them. I mean, just from a Jets perspective? Darrelle Revis was a walking holdout machine during his first run with the team, and that's why John Idzik finally cut the cord and traded him to Tampa.
  12. The (as-of-yet unconfirmed) reports I'm seeing indicate that Chicago gave up at least two 1st-round picks for Khalil Mack. I'd have liked to see the Jets land Mack, because their defense needs what he can do in the worst way, but not at that price tag PLUS the contract extension such a trade would require. The Jets aren't good enough right now for that sort of deal to make sense. Good for Khalil Mack that he's going to get PAID, but I have my doubts that Chicago is really going to benefit by this deal. Minnesota is a pretty good team and Green Bay will be competitive so long as Aaron Rodgers is healthy and effective, so I'm not quite sure what Chicago's ceiling is.
  13. Each class -- and each tier/gender of each class -- learns certain Skills and Conditional Skills. As the story characters only learn a handful of specific Skills and Conditional Skills, you'll need Peons of appropriate classes and the Peon Fusion process to get additional Skills and Conditional Skills onto your storyline characters if there are gaps you wish to fill.
  14. Players have been whining for flags since the League first introduced officials and penalties and flags for penalties. The only thing that changes is the specifics of what they whine about, but the gist remains the same. Just once, I'd like to see a referee throw a penalty flag when the player bitches for one.... flagging that bitchy player for Unsportsmanlike Conduct. It's never going to happen, but a guy can dream.
  15. I'm largely a cross-breed. My "litmus test" isn't how difficult a game is, if my profile is any indication, but I will avoid games with immense amounts of online like the plague because I simply don't enjoy it .... and because I have a large enough backlog that I won't run out of things to play for quite some time even when I deliberately won't acquire certain titles I might otherwise enjoy. But I also have a lot of completionist tendencies.