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National Football League Thread


cmgravekeeper

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8 hours ago, SebGamer93 said:

People had the Dolphins as the worst team in the league, especially ESPN and Bleacher Report, and now they could potentially be 3-0 with a winnable game against Oakland at home next Sunday. 

 

This is why one should play the (expletive deleted) games before judging who they really believe is good or bad.  It's not as bad as it is in college football, where if you don't have the pre-season hype and a lofty ranking you might as well give up on winning a championship and just play to get a bid to the Liquid Plumr(TM) Toilet Bowl, but it's still a case where it takes a little while to figure out who really might be unexpectedly good or bad -- and there are always a few in each column.

 

A friend of mine who is a Giants' fan texted me today asking me what I thought about a slew of "Power Rankings" from around the interwebs putting the Giants above the Jets.  So I texted him back this (direct quote):  Power Rankings are opinions.  Opinions are like assholes.  Everybody has one, and most of them stink.

 

The Dolphins may be better than a lot of people thought.  Or maybe they just beat up on a pair of teams that aren't going to be so wonderful.  That's one of those things we'll need some more hindsight to judge, although I'd probably pick them to get to 3-0 if I was into the whole "picking teams and/or betting on the NFL" sort of thing.

 

....

 

As for ESPN, the less said about them the better.  They weren't very good at the "predicting sports" thing to begin with, and that was before they made a sharp turn into being just another political and social commentary network.

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14 hours ago, Cassylvania said:

Between all the good, bad, and ridiculously weird stats over the weekend, this one sticks out to me the most: Bradford threw for 90 yards...on 27 attempts. That is the most putrid number I've seen for a QB not named Peterman in the last two years.

Makes you wonder how close they are to playing Josh Rosen with those awful numbers and only 1 td in 2 games

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9 hours ago, acasser said:

 

This is why one should play the (expletive deleted) games before judging who they really believe is good or bad.  It's not as bad as it is in college football, where if you don't have the pre-season hype and a lofty ranking you might as well give up on winning a championship and just play to get a bid to the Liquid Plumr(TM) Toilet Bowl, but it's still a case where it takes a little while to figure out who really might be unexpectedly good or bad -- and there are always a few in each column.

 

A friend of mine who is a Giants' fan texted me today asking me what I thought about a slew of "Power Rankings" from around the interwebs putting the Giants above the Jets.  So I texted him back this (direct quote):  Power Rankings are opinions.  Opinions are like assholes.  Everybody has one, and most of them stink.

 

The Dolphins may be better than a lot of people thought.  Or maybe they just beat up on a pair of teams that aren't going to be so wonderful.  That's one of those things we'll need some more hindsight to judge, although I'd probably pick them to get to 3-0 if I was into the whole "picking teams and/or betting on the NFL" sort of thing.

 

....

 

As for ESPN, the less said about them the better.  They weren't very good at the "predicting sports" thing to begin with, and that was before they made a sharp turn into being just another political and social commentary network.

Sports analysts are bad at their job to be sure but Vegas odds tend to be pretty good. I guess when money is involved, the people involved do more research

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3 hours ago, majob said:

Sports analysts are bad at their job to be sure but Vegas odds tend to be pretty good. I guess when money is involved, the people involved do more research

 

Las Vegas isn't in the business of trying to predict what is going to happen or to analyze what has already come before.  Las Vegas is in the business of setting lines so that they get roughly equal action on either side -- or trying to do so -- because that's how they make their money.

 

For example, if they opened the line on tomorrow night's Jets/Browns game at Cleveland -3, that doesn't mean Las Vegas expects the Browns to win by three points.  It means that's their "sweet spot" where their chosen experts expect the betting to be relatively even on both sides.  And if their chosen experts happen to be wrong and there's an avalanche of money on "Jets +3", they'll start moving the line until things level out.

 

The house is pretty much guaranteed to make money when they can surf that sweet spot and not have to move the lines (or move them much).  And that's what they're in the business to do: make themselves some money.  On the other hand, their biggest fear is that they whiff on an opening line so badly and have to move the line so much that savvy bettors can place two separate bets several days apart that cover the entire field.  If you could bet "Jets +5" and "Cleveland -1" on that same Jets/Browns game, you end up with a very real chance to double your money and soak the house, and that's usually the worst-case scenario for a sportsbook.

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16 hours ago, acasser said:

 

As for ESPN, the less said about them the better.  They weren't very good at the "predicting sports" thing to begin with, and that was before they made a sharp turn into being just another political and social commentary network.

 

Amen brother.

At this point, ESPN is just a tabloid, with little journalism involved. It's People Magzine for sports. He said this, he tweeted that,  etc. etc. Endless talking heads, pompous pundits - it's nauseating because it's all opinion with little on facts (which I guess in America, that formula can win you the Presidency).

  I feel glad I grew up at a time when ESPN actually showed highlights. And a time when they had legitimate journalists like Tom Mees and Bob Levy. 

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My Week 3 2018-19 NFL Tips

 

Browns over Jets

Falcons over Saints

Vikings over Bills

Panthers over Bengals 

Broncos over Ravens 

Packers over Redskins

Jags over Titans

Eagles over Colts

Chiefs over 49ers

Dolphins over Raiders

Texans over Giants 

Rams over Chargers 

Bears over Cardinals 

Cowboys over Seahawks

Patriots over Lions

Bucs over Steelers 

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3 minutes ago, kidson2004 said:

Browns win!! Browns win!!!! 

 

And scientists have now determined that the moon is indeed made of Swiss cheese, the earth is flat, the sun is the center of the universe and smoking tobacco in sum has positive health effects.

 

Congratulations to the Browns and their fans!

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3 hours ago, kidson2004 said:

Browns win!! Browns win!!!! 

Think they’ll have a new starting QB going forward.

 

Anyway...

 

It’s only week 3. Quit your bitching or you might get your wish to be traded!

 

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000964357/article/antonio-brown-on-frustrations-were-losing-we-suck

 

I know he said he didn’t really want to be traded. Bullshit.

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Congrats to The browns on there drought breaking win and well it's official Baker Mayfield time has started and it has done so with a bang, not getting on hype train yet, i'll let him play more, but damn was he good, compared to the awful play from Tyrod Taylor.

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5 hours ago, Spyro said:

It’s only week 3. Quit your bitching or you might get your wish to be traded!

 

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000964357/article/antonio-brown-on-frustrations-were-losing-we-suck

 

I know he said he didn’t really want to be traded. Bullshit.

 

Pittsburgh would have to be blown away by a trade offer to make it worth their while.  Locker room issues or no, the salary cap ramifications throw a very big wrench into the works.

 

It won't happen this season, but I could see it happening in the off-season.  If Ben Roethlisberger decides to call it quits and Le'Veon Bell heads off into the wild blue yonder of Free Agency, Pittsburgh could do it just to hit the reset button on everything.

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And to think I could've been at that game...

 

Well, good for the Browns! Mayfield played exceptionally well. I'm not going to be the one that says the Browns could be 3-0 if they had started him all along, but...

 

One of the reasons I love mid-September football is that we get a lot of meaningless early season drama. Pittsburgh is a good example. I fully expect them to be back in the win column this weekend, but, in the meantime, we can imagine the best and worst case scenarios. Best case scenario? AB to the Vikes. Worst case scenario? Le'Veon to the Packers. The first is just pie in the sky, but the second is a very real possibility if the Steelers don't get back on track, so expect me to be waving a terrible towel Monday night.

 

Perhaps the oddest scenario of all.

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2 hours ago, majob said:

The one game I bother to not watch ends up probably being one of the most memorable. Well, let that be a lesson then

 

Well, it wasn't memorable in the first half. Neither team could move the ball and there was inept play, like a terrible missed block which ended up as a punt block.

With the Jets up and Cleveland incapable of moving the ball forward, I gave up. Whoops. 

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1 hour ago, majob said:

We must be in the Twilight Zone right now. Bills hosing the Vikings, Redskins hosing the Packers, 

 

I was just thinking to myself "the Jags either forgot to drink their super juice, or the Titans stole it and had double doses of super juice" for the score in that game to be where it is lol. 

(not that I can watch it. I'm watching, barely, Miami vs Oakland instead of KC vs 49ers.)

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12 minutes ago, Avatar_Of_Battle said:

 

I was just thinking to myself "the Jags either forgot to drink their super juice, or the Titans stole it and had double doses of super juice" for the score in that game to be where it is lol. 

(not that I can watch it. I'm watching, barely, Miami vs Oakland instead of KC vs 49ers.)

NFL Redzone is your friend. About the only time I watch just one single game is when my Lions are playing and Sunday, Monday, and Thursday Night Football

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1 minute ago, Cassylvania said:

This is what happens when the Browns win a game! The universe is out of whack. Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together, mass hysteria!

 

Redskins, do your job.

Seriously, there's way too much time on the board and it's only a two score game with a qb known for pulling wins out of his behind when things look bad

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